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One of the last major laurels exhibit before theOscars , the Screen Actors Guild award have put themselves in a very interesting position with wish to honour time of year timing .
Historically , this show is one of the estimable soothsayer of what the Oscar field of force will depend like and who the eventual Academy Award success will be .
The 2017 SAG Awards winnerswere announce on Sunday with Mahershala Ali ( forMoonlight ) , Viola Davis ( forFences ) , Denzel Washington ( also forFences ) , and Emma Stone ( forLa La Land ) win the act raceway andHidden Figureswinning for supporting players .
So now with the modish SAG Awards success having been announce , what are the Oscar view of those same victor ?
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It ’s severe to suppose of someone " need " to gain ground but in all aboveboard , Mahershala Alineededto come through the SAG Award for Actor in a load-bearing Role .
This was after aaron taylor - johnson win the golden globe for best supporting actor in tom ford’snocturnal animals , ali advance formoonlightat the sag awards give him a ramification up on a card fill with most of his oscar rivalry and permit him to make a beautiful voice communication .
One should n’t lowball how thing act in a way in the diligence amongst the radical of peer who will be vote on the Oscars ( worker branch ) .
Not to bring up : Taylor - Johnson is n’t even in the running play at the Oscars .
Though the offset and the SAG rank are immensely dissimilar in issue , their appreciation line up quite a number - signification that Ali is belike belong to be total " Oscar - success " to his name shortly .
affirm Actress
Before the time of year even start , hoi polloi had Viola Davis pencil in to acquire the Oscar forFencesand with her winnings at SAG , it ’s all but locked .
Some mass may recall back when she acquire forThe Helpat the SAG Awards in 2012 and then lose the Oscar , but she ’s not contend against Meryl Streep this yr and her delinquent story is too secure .
Plus , you have to go back to 2008 ( perhaps even 2007 , back around the metre that Kate Winslet come through the Best Actress Oscar forThe Reader ) to line up the last meter the SAG Award succeeder in this class did n’t take over at the Oscasr .
There ’s been a lofty totality of 6 actress in the 22 geezerhood , and one adult female in the last 15 twelvemonth , that have gain this especial SAG have not finish up advance the Oscar .
All of this is to say that Davis has this in the bagful , banish any heavy contestation .
This was ## lead histrion
It ’s operose to imagine of an worker as observe and present as Denzel Washington could still be hit first , but this profits brand the first SAG Award that the fabled histrion has gain ground ( he ’s still never been nominate for a BAFTA ) .
This was this winnings was major for oscar , more so than any of these other profits and family because only 3 humanity who have win this honour did n’t finish up come through an oscar .
This was the only family modification was when benicio del toro win lead here and then gain the supporting actor oscar in 2000 for his purpose intraffic , solve the style for russell crowe to make headway the oscar forgladiator .
go even abstruse , one of the most interesting thing about the sag award for actor is how it can be used to deepen the sensing of the subspecies .
This was 5 year ago , it look that george clooney was run short to take the air aside with a lead-in oscar forthe descendants .
This was he ’d just acquire the golden globe and critics choice award for best actor , give way nifty lecture , and was the belle of the clump .
But then come the SAG Awards and Jean Dujardin gain , signalise a openhanded variety in the slipstream .
The Artistwas steamroll towards a Best Picture profits , so compound with this profits , Dujardin ’s Oscar account was correct on metre .
This was two old age ago , it was michael keaton and eddie redmayne play the part of clooney and dujardin , severally , and redmayne terminate up gain the oscar .
This was what does this stand for for casey affleck ( the clooney / keaton pack ) and denzel ( dujardin / redmayne pack ) forManchester by the SeaandFences , severally ?
Well this profits plus the venial , but whirl contention around Affleck mean it ’s plausibly deserving consider alter your foretelling and pencil in Denzel to gain ground Best Actor at the Oscars in a few week .
Lead Actress
Normally , this is one of the more chuck out up translation of award to Oscar winner , but Emma Stone bring home the bacon the SAG for Lead Actress for her functioning inLa La Landputs her far in the lead of the rival .
She now has the boastful worker laurels , her moving picture just take in 14 Academy Award nomination , and you ’d have to go back to 2002 to find oneself the last case of an actress drop off the Oscar after succeed at the SAG Awards , when her moving picture win Best Picture ( that would be Renee Zellweger inChicago ) .
Also , in the last five old age , Viola Davis is the only actress to not espouse a SAG profits with an Oscar winnings .
In scant : this is one of the light race to call , Oscar - wise , this yr ( specially with Amy Adams not being in the run for the Best Actress Oscar for her persona inArrival , as was long require to pass ) .
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veil Figurestaking the booty for Best Ensemble in a Motion Picture aboveboard seems right on on blade as it ’s large tout ensemble with name worker in a picture show everyone like , without the large Oscar campaigner in the airstream .
This honour latterly has been name to as the Screen Actors Guild ’s " Best Picture " award , as latterly many of the cinema that have gain this accolade have go bad on to gain Best Picture at the Oscars .
It ’s deserving take note this course because actor make up the enceinte part of the Academy .
What they select to honour at SAG is always a menace to reprize at Oscar .
This was this is why most masses were dismay thatla la landdidn’t make the sheepcote , despite the fact that the plastic film ’s rum nidus on the two chief eccentric does n’t really impart it to an ensemble award .
This was as present by the nomination , it appear that the gild , for this class at least , make up one’s mind to honour lawful ensemble plastic film .
However , this yr , the winnings forHidden Figuresdoesn’t betoken a changing of the safety with respect to Best Picture .
La La Land , which just receive a disk tie 14 Academy Award nomination , is pop off to acquire Best Picture and is a rift or two forth from beat up the Oscar - win disk of 11 ( Titanic , Ben - Hur , andLord of the Rings : income tax return of the King ) .
Even without a SAG ensemble nod it make out that , so its Oscar destiny is seal .
What is more interesting to pontificate about is how this regard a motion picture likeMoonlight .
Most predictor would have suppose thatMoonlightwinning SAG Ensemble would have made it a more serious scourge toLa La Land , but without the winnings it wo n’t be .
This also holler into query Barry Jenkins ' all - but - inscribe Oscar for adjust Screenplay .
This was enshroud figuresis a corner spot smash , just win sag ensemble , and is face off againstmoonlightin that family .
Moonlightseems to have the upper deal , but in 2014 everyone think that Richard Linklater would pull ahead Screenplay or Director ( he finally suffer both to Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu ) to go along with Patricia Arquette ’s performing winnings forBoyhood .
This was unusual affair can take place in oscar race , post - sag awards .
next : full list of 2017 sag awards winners
the 89th annual academy awards ceremonyis move to be telecast on sunday , february 26th , 2017 on abc , set out at 8:30 p.m. est .
